KFU. Card publication. Air Temperature Change at the End of the Late Holocene and in the Anthropocene in the Middle Volga Region, European Russia

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AIR TEMPERATURE CHANGE AT THE END OF THE LATE HOLOCENE AND IN THE ANTHROPOCENE IN THE MIDDLE VOLGA REGION, EUROPEAN RUSSIA

Form of presentation

Articles in international journals and collections

Year of publication

2023

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Authors, employees of KFU

Aukhadeev Timur Rinatovich, author

Gusarov Artem Viktorovich, author

Mirsaeva Nadezhda Aleksandrovna, author

Nikolaev Aleksandr Anatolevich, author

Perevedencev Yuriy Petrovich, author

Shantalinskiy Konstantin Mikhaylovich, author

Bibliographic description in the original language

Perevedentsev, Y.P.; Shantalinsky, K.M.; Gusarov, A.V.; Mirsaeva, N.A.; Aukhadeev, T.R.; Nikolaev, A.A. Air Temperature Change at the End of the Late Holocene and in the Anthropocene in the Middle Volga Region, European Russia // Quaternary 2023, 6(3), 48. https://doi.org/10.3390/quat6030048

Annotation

The temporal variability of air temperature in the Middle Volga region from 1828 to 2021 is considered according to instrumental observations at the oldest meteorological station in the east of the East European Plain (Kazan University) and throughout the Asian part of Russia against the background of long-term climate fluctuations in the Northern Hemisphere of Earth. A general trend toward an increase in air temperature was revealed. It was found that climate change in Kazan was consistent with the climatic processes that occurred in the Middle Volga region as a whole. The greatest warming for the entire observation period was observed in the winter and spring seasons of the year. In December, warming occurred at a maximum rate of 0.28 ?C/10 years. At the same time, the most intense warming process was observed from 1991 to 2021. The analysis of low-frequency fluctuations in the series of monthly average air temperatures made it possible to identify different periods of change, both in type (direction) and intensity. It is shown that in the Middle Volga region, positive anomalies of air temperature have occurred more often than negative ones in recent decades. Statistical data processing was also carried out for 30-year periods, starting from the first period, i.e., 1841–1870. This made it possible to reveal long-term changes in air temperature. Comparisons of climatic parameters in two periods, i.e., 1828–1945 and 1946–2021, allowed us to reliably detect the climatic beginning of the increasingly identifiable Anthropocene epoch (since 1946), characterized by a sharp increase in air temperature, increased interannual variability of the air temperature regime, and a significant increase (by about three times) in the rate of warming in the Middle Volga region. A correlation was made between atmospheric circulation indices and air temperature fluctuations in Kazan over different periods. The closest relationship was found for the 1990–2020 period. It is shown that the contribution of global factors to air temperature variability in the Middle Volga region during the Anthropocene reached 37% in winter and 32% in summer; in annual terms, this contribution amounted to 54%.

Keywords

Climate change; trend; correlation; anomaly; circulation index; warming; ENSO; NAO; AO; East European Plain

The name of the journal

Quaternary

URL

https://www.mdpi.com/2571-550X/6/3/48

Please use this ID to quote from or refer to the card

https://repository.kpfu.ru/eng/?p_id=284923&p_lang=2

Resource files

File name	Size (MB)	Format
F_Statya_Q1_ot_01.09.2023_g._opublikovano.pdf	5,41	pdf	show / download

Full metadata record

Field DC	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Aukhadeev Timur Rinatovich	ru_RU
dc.contributor.author	Gusarov Artem Viktorovich	ru_RU
dc.contributor.author	Mirsaeva Nadezhda Aleksandrovna	ru_RU
dc.contributor.author	Nikolaev Aleksandr Anatolevich	ru_RU
dc.contributor.author	Perevedencev Yuriy Petrovich	ru_RU
dc.contributor.author	Shantalinskiy Konstantin Mikhaylovich	ru_RU
dc.date.accessioned	2023-01-01T00:00:00Z	ru_RU
dc.date.available	2023-01-01T00:00:00Z	ru_RU
dc.date.issued	2023	ru_RU
dc.identifier.citation	Perevedentsev, Y.P.; Shantalinsky, K.M.; Gusarov, A.V.; Mirsaeva, N.A.; Aukhadeev, T.R.; Nikolaev, A.A. Air Temperature Change at the End of the Late Holocene and in the Anthropocene in the Middle Volga Region, European Russia // Quaternary 2023, 6(3), 48. https://doi.org/10.3390/quat6030048	ru_RU
dc.identifier.uri	https://repository.kpfu.ru/eng/?p_id=284923&p_lang=2	ru_RU
dc.description.abstract	Quaternary	ru_RU
dc.description.abstract	The temporal variability of air temperature in the Middle Volga region from 1828 to 2021 is considered according to instrumental observations at the oldest meteorological station in the east of the East European Plain (Kazan University) and throughout the Asian part of Russia against the background of long-term climate fluctuations in the Northern Hemisphere of Earth. A general trend toward an increase in air temperature was revealed. It was found that climate change in Kazan was consistent with the climatic processes that occurred in the Middle Volga region as a whole. The greatest warming for the entire observation period was observed in the winter and spring seasons of the year. In December, warming occurred at a maximum rate of 0.28 ?C/10 years. At the same time, the most intense warming process was observed from 1991 to 2021. The analysis of low-frequency fluctuations in the series of monthly average air temperatures made it possible to identify different periods of change, both in type (direction) and intensity. It is shown that in the Middle Volga region, positive anomalies of air temperature have occurred more often than negative ones in recent decades. Statistical data processing was also carried out for 30-year periods, starting from the first period, i.e., 1841–1870. This made it possible to reveal long-term changes in air temperature. Comparisons of climatic parameters in two periods, i.e., 1828–1945 and 1946–2021, allowed us to reliably detect the climatic beginning of the increasingly identifiable Anthropocene epoch (since 1946), characterized by a sharp increase in air temperature, increased interannual variability of the air temperature regime, and a significant increase (by about three times) in the rate of warming in the Middle Volga region. A correlation was made between atmospheric circulation indices and air temperature fluctuations in Kazan over different periods. The closest relationship was found for the 1990–2020 period. It is shown that the contribution of global factors to air temperature variability in the Middle Volga region during the Anthropocene reached 37% in winter and 32% in summer; in annual terms, this contribution amounted to 54%.	ru_RU
dc.language.iso	ru	ru_RU
dc.subject		ru_RU
dc.title	Air Temperature Change at the End of the Late Holocene and in the Anthropocene in the Middle Volga Region, European Russia	ru_RU
dc.type	Articles in international journals and collections	ru_RU