KFU. Card publication. LONG-TERM FORECASTS OF HEATING PERIOD DURATION FOR THE VOLGA FEDERAL DISTRICT

KAZAN
FEDERAL UNIVERSITY

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LONG-TERM FORECASTS OF HEATING PERIOD DURATION FOR THE VOLGA FEDERAL DISTRICT

Form of presentation

Articles in international journals and collections

Year of publication

2017

ßçûê

àíãëèéñêèé

Authors, employees of KFU

Mirsaeva Nadezhda Aleksandrovna, author

Bibliographic description in the original language

Vazhnova N.A. LONG-TERM FORECASTS OF HEATING PERIOD DURATION FOR THE VOLGA FEDERAL DISTRICT/ N.A. Vazhnova//NATIONAL ACADEMY OF MANAGERIAL STAFF OF CULTURE AND ARTS HERALD. - 2017. - ¹4. - PP.314-319.

Annotation

Â³ñíèê Íàö³îíàëüíî¿ àêàäåì³¿ êåð³âíèõ êàäð³â êóëüòóðè ³ ìèñòåöòâ

Keywords

Long-term forecast, heating season duration, the transition of the average daily air temperature below 8 ?Ñ

The name of the journal

Â³ñíèê Íàö³îíàëüíî¿ àêàäåì³¿ êåð³âíèõ êàäð³â êóëüòóðè ³ ìèñòåöòâ

URL

http://journals.uran.ua/visnyknakkkim/issue/view/7206

Please use this ID to quote from or refer to the card

https://repository.kpfu.ru/eng/?p_id=173866&p_lang=2

Full metadata record

Field DC	Value	Language
dc.contributor.author	Mirsaeva Nadezhda Aleksandrovna	ru_RU
dc.date.accessioned	2017-01-01T00:00:00Z	ru_RU
dc.date.available	2017-01-01T00:00:00Z	ru_RU
dc.date.issued	2017	ru_RU
dc.identifier.citation	Vazhnova N.A. LONG-TERM FORECASTS OF HEATING PERIOD DURATION FOR THE VOLGA FEDERAL DISTRICT/ N.A. Vazhnova//NATIONAL ACADEMY OF MANAGERIAL STAFF OF CULTURE AND ARTS HERALD. - 2017. - ¹4. - PP.314-319.	ru_RU
dc.identifier.uri	https://repository.kpfu.ru/eng/?p_id=173866&p_lang=2	ru_RU
dc.description.abstract	Â³ñíèê Íàö³îíàëüíî¿ àêàäåì³¿ êåð³âíèõ êàäð³â êóëüòóðè ³ ìèñòåöòâ	ru_RU
dc.description.abstract	The principal fundamentals of the forecast method for heating period duration are considered in this paper, taking into account the date of a stable autumn decrease of the mean daily air temperature through 8 ?C. The results of 14-year tests of the method and the prospects of its practical use are discussed. The presence of a highly reliable, close, negative relationship between the changes in the dates of stable autumn transitions of the mean daily air temperature through 8 ?C and the duration of a heating period suitable for its use were determined for prognostic purposes. It was determined that forecast errors (Δm) increase along with the increase of spring transition date instability to the average daily air temperature through 8 ?C, and vice versa. Thus, the largest average forecast errors (up to ? 9 ÷ 9.4 days) were observed in the northern and the northwestern parts of the Volga Federal District (VFD) - in the zone with the greatest spring variability of circulation and therma	ru_RU
dc.language.iso	ru	ru_RU
dc.subject	Long-term forecast	ru_RU
dc.subject	heating season duration	ru_RU
dc.subject	the transition of the average daily air temperature below 8 ?Ñ	ru_RU
dc.title	LONG-TERM FORECASTS OF HEATING PERIOD DURATION FOR THE VOLGA FEDERAL DISTRICT	ru_RU
dc.type	Articles in international journals and collections	ru_RU